Leonardo Malgaroli vs Andrea Guerrieri Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Leonardo Malgaroli has a higher second serve performance at 44.90% compared to Andrea Guerrieri's 40.98%. Is this difference significant? It suggests Malgaroli may have a slight edge in maintaining service games.
• In recent return games, Malgaroli also leads slightly, winning 49.39% of opponents' second serve points against Guerrieri's 48.43%.
• However, Guerrieri shows better accuracy on first serve returns, with 29.88% compared to Malgaroli's 27.74%.
• Under pressure, Malgaroli saves 56.20% of breakpoints, while Guerrieri saves 52.17%. This could indicate Malgaroli might handle critical situations better.
• In the last year, Guerrieri has a higher match win rate of 64.44% versus Malgaroli's 59.09%.
• Malgaroli prefers indoor hard surfaces with a 64% win rate, whereas Guerrieri achieves a similar win rate on grass, but both have a decline on clay.
• Guerrieri has recently faced lower-ranked opponents (average rank 464.64) compared to Malgaroli's 347.98, which might imply Malgaroli has been up against tougher competition.
• They have faced each other one time before, with Guerrieri winning both sets effortlessly.
• Malgaroli excels in deciding sets with a 73% win rate, compared to Guerrieri's 53%.
• Break point conversion shows Malgaroli slightly ahead with 38.37%, over Guerrieri's 36.16%.

Editorial Prediction (November 16, 2025, UTC):

Leonardo Malgaroli showcases a stronger performance in second serve efficiency and pressure situations compared to Andrea Guerrieri. These factors often contribute significantly to a player’s chances of winning critical points.

Conversely, Andrea Guerrieri has dominated their direct head-to-head matchup in the past. This gives Guerrieri a psychological edge, having defeated Malgaroli swiftly in their last encounter.

However, Malgaroli's higher percentage in deciding sets demonstrates mental resilience and an ability to prevail in tight scenarios. Given his experience against stronger opponents, this mental toughness could prove crucial.

While Andrea Guerrieri's overall success rate is slightly better over the past year, Leonardo Malgaroli’s specific advantages in recent receiving games and break-point conversions suggest he might have the slight upper hand. Therefore, Malgaroli is the marginal favorite to win this upcoming match.